Vol. 41 No. 3 (2019): Boletín de Geología
Articles

Landslide hazard assessment triggered by rainfall in a Colombian Andes region estimating spatial, temporal and magnitude probability

Edier Aristizábal
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Bio
Sandra López
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Bio
Oscar Sánchez
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Bio
Mariana Vásquez
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Bio
Felipe Rincón
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Bio
Diana Ruiz-Vásquez
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Bio
Sebastián Restrepo
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Bio
Johan Sebastián Valencia
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Bio

Published 2019-09-30

Keywords

  • hazard,
  • rainfall-induced landslide,
  • Weight of Evidence

How to Cite

Aristizábal, E., López, S., Sánchez, O., Vásquez, M., Rincón, F., Ruiz-Vásquez, D., Restrepo, S., & Valencia, J. S. (2019). Landslide hazard assessment triggered by rainfall in a Colombian Andes region estimating spatial, temporal and magnitude probability. Boletín De Geología, 41(3), 85–105. https://doi.org/10.18273/revbol.v41n3-2019004

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Abstract

The hazard generated by rainfall-induced landslides causes a larger number of victims each year in mountainous and tropical environments, such as the Colombia Andes. The aim of this study is to generate hazard maps for rainfall-induced landslides in the Aburrá Valley, located in the north of the Colombia Andes, which is occupied by a huge number of people living in landside-prone slopes. This paper presents not just the quantitative analysis of landslide hazard with the estimation of space, temporal, and magnitude probability, but also the verification and validation of the results. In terms of the space probability, the Weight of Evidence (WoE) method was used; for the temporal probability, rainfall thresholds for landslide occurrence and their daily temporal probability were identified. Finally, for magnitude probability, the magnitude-frequency curve was used according to the multitemporal inventory of landslide elaborated. The hazard map shows that the high hazard corresponds to 75% of the landslides occurring in 37% of the study area. The medium hazard corresponds to 28% of the landslide within 56% of the study area. Lastly, the low hazard corresponds to 25% of the landslide within 7% of in the study area.

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