La ley de Benford valida la mortalidad en la Franja de Gaza

Palabras clave

Oriente Medio

Cómo citar

Moreno-Montoya, J., & Idrovo, A. J. (2024). La ley de Benford valida la mortalidad en la Franja de Gaza. Salud UIS, 56.


Recently, a letter to The Lancet´s editor written by Benjamin Q Huynh and colleagues reported that figures of mortality in Gaza between October 7 to November 10, 2023, were not inflated1. To support this affirmation, they analysed the daily trends of Gaza Ministry of Health’s mortality along with data of reported staff member deaths from the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East. They found no evidence of abnormal increases. This contrasts with what has been pointed out by various voices from Israel, who indicate that the data is false, even going so far as to say that the images published by the media and social networks are made by actors, which constitutes a “Pallywood” (disparaging combination of “Palestine” and “Hollywood”).



Huynh BQ, Chin ET, Spiegel PB. No evidence of inflated mortality reporting from the Gaza Ministry of Health. Lancet 2024; 403(10421): 23-24. doi:

Robinson O, Sardarizadeh S. False claims of staged deaths surge in Israel-Gaza war. 22 December 2023. Availabe in:

Benford F. The law of anomalous numbers. Proc Am Philos Soc 1938; 78: 551–572. Available in:

Idrovo AJ, Fernández-Niño JA, Bojórquez-Chapela I, Moreno-Montoya J. Performance of public health surveillance systems during the influenza A(H1N1) pandemic in the Americas: testing a new method based on Benford’s Law. Epidemiol Infect. 2011; 139: 1827-1834. doi:

Balashov VS, Yan Y, Zhu X. Using the Newcomb–Benford law to study the association between a country’s COVID-19 reporting accuracy and its development. Sci Rep. 2021; 11: 22914. doi:

Manrique-Hernández EF, Moreno-Montoya J, Hurtado-Ortíz A, Prieto-Alvarado FE, Idrovo AJ. Desempeño del sistema de vigilancia colombiano durante la pandemia de COVID-19: evaluación rápida de los primeros 50 días. Biomédica 2020; 40(supl.2): 96-103. doi:

Hurtado-Ortíz A, Moreno-Montoya J, Prieto-Alvarado FE, Idrovo AJ. Evaluación comparativa de la vigilancia en salud pública de COVID-19 en Colombia: primer semestre. Biomédica 2020; 40(supl.2): 131-138. doi:

Spagat M, Pinker S. World War III: the final exchange. Significance. 2016; 13(6): 46-47. doi: https://doi.


Creative Commons License

Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución 4.0.

Derechos de autor 2024 José Moreno-Montoya, Alvaro J. Idrovo


Los datos de descargas todavía no están disponibles.